Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2548
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 2548 · CVG → MCO
departs 2:52 PM ET · arrives 5:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
CVG usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.