Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2791
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
F9 2791 · MCO → ORD
departs 8:59 PM ET · arrives 11:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 44%
Mon 10/5 36%
Fri 10/9 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
+23 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
62%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.0d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +28 pts in 24h
+28 pts
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.