Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2999
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 2999 · MDW → DFW
departs 6:41 PM CT · arrives 9:21 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 35%
Thu 10/8 18%
Fri 10/9 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.26 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.