Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3053
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 3053 · TPA → ATL
departs 8:55 PM ET · arrives 10:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 21%
Wed 10/7 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Other factors
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.