Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3073
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 3073 · RDU → CLE
departs 3:22 PM ET · arrives 5:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 24%
Wed 10/7 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at RDU that day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.32 in
CLE (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.