Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3074
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
F9 3074 · CLE → RDU
departs 1:02 PM ET · arrives 2:37 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Thu 10/1 20%
Fri 10/2 24%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at RDU that day
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↓
RDU usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CLE (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
RDU (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.