Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3207
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
F9 3207 · IAD → DFW
departs 9:57 PM ET · arrives 12:15 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAD (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,100 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.22 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.