Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3288
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
F9 3288 · ATL → LGA
departs 8:22 PM ET · arrives 10:43 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Today 75%
Mon 10/5 45%
Fri 10/9 48%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±1 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 56% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 0.75 mi
Precip 0.22 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.