Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3324
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
F9 3324 · TPA → ISP
departs 4:09 PM ET · arrives 7:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Fri 10/2 41%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 21%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at ISP more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±2 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ISP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at ISP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ISP?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from TPA are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ISP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.29 in
ISP (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,533 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.