Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3355
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
F9 3355 · ISP → TPA
departs 7:46 PM ET · arrives 10:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 47%
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 21%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave ISP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ISP
Weather at each end
ISP (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.