Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3560
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
F9 3560 · BNA → MCO
departs 5:10 PM CT · arrives 8:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Fri 10/2 58%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 29%
Mon 10/5 33%
Wed 10/7 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BNA is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.21 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.