Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3692
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 3692 · ATL → IAD
departs 9:03 PM ET · arrives 10:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 42%
Mon 10/5 29%
Tue 10/6 22%
Wed 10/7 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at IAD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ATL that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.10 in
IAD (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.