Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4076
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 4076 · IAH → ATL
departs 10:48 AM CT · arrives 2:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 46%
Mon 10/5 39%
Thu 10/8 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±1 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.6d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↓
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.