Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4702
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
F9 4702 · AUS → ATL
departs 1:33 PM CT · arrives 5:06 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 63%
Fri 10/2 39%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 38%
Mon 10/5 32%
Tue 10/6 27%
Wed 10/7 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 46% of the time recently
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
AUS is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.29 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.51 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.