Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 9678 LANDED 1:31 PM AT, ~42 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

F9 9678 · BQN → BQN

took off · landed 1:31 PM AT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at BQN more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at BQN that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Arrivals into BQN at that hour are usually not late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BQN (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

BQN (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 9678 · BQN → BQN

Odds over time