Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1193
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
G4 1193 · XNA → SFB
departs 7:11 PM CT · arrives 10:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
XNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at XNA
Weather at each end
XNA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 1,700 ft
Visibility 6.76667 mi
Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.