Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1209
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
G4 1209 · SFB → XNA
departs 11:50 AM ET · arrives 1:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at XNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to XNA?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
XNA usually runs smoothly
↓
11am departures from SFB are usually not late
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.19 in
XNA (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 9.66667 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.