Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1219 LANDED 4:13 PM CT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

G4 1219 · SFB → EVV

took off 3:26 PM ET · landed 4:13 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at EVV more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day

↑ Other factors

↑ 3pm departures from SFB are often late

↓ EVV usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EVV

Weather at each end

SFB (origin) Gusts34 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.84 in

EVV (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1219 · SFB → EVV

Odds over time