Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1233
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
G4 1233 · HTS → SFB
departs 6:38 PM ET · arrives 8:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave HTS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at HTS that day
Weather at each end
HTS (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
SFB (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.