Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1248
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
G4 1248 · SFB → MFE
departs 8:00 AM ET · arrives 9:53 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.4d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at MFE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MFE?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at MFE that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
8am departures from SFB are usually not late
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.22 in
MFE (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.51 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.