Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1257
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
G4 1257 · SFB → FWA
departs 6:05 AM ET · arrives 8:21 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.3d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at FWA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to FWA?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at SFB that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from SFB are usually not late
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.22 in
FWA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.