Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1280
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
G4 1280 · OKC → SFB
departs 6:42 PM CT · arrives 10:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OKC
Weather at each end
OKC (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.