Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1282
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
G4 1282 · SFB → SDF
departs 6:08 PM ET · arrives 8:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at SDF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SDF?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at SFB that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,467 ft forecast at SDF that day
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.22 in
SDF (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,467 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.