Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1307
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
G4 1307 · BGR → SFB
departs 10:56 AM ET · arrives 2:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
17%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave BGR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
17%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB
↓
Visibility down to 0.75 mi forecast at BGR that day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BGR (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 0.75 mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.