Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1396
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
G4 1396 · TYS → EWR
departs 7:10 AM ET · arrives 9:05 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Fri 10/2 6%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at TYS that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
TYS (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.12 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,267 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.