Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1410
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
G4 1410 · GUF → TYS
departs 5:50 PM CT · arrives 8:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
−12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave GUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at TYS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TYS?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at GUF that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
TYS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
GUF (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.23 in
TYS (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 2.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.