Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1430
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
G4 1430 · GUF → MCI
departs 12:03 PM CT · arrives 2:08 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave GUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,233 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at GUF that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI
↓
GUF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
GUF (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.23 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.