Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1436
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
G4 1436 · VPS → TYS
departs 7:21 PM CT · arrives 9:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at TYS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TYS?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.0 in of rain forecast at VPS that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.78 in
TYS (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 2.67 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.