Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1481
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
G4 1481 · XNA → VPS
departs 3:30 PM CT · arrives 5:18 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at VPS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to VPS?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at VPS that day
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at XNA
Weather at each end
XNA (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
VPS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.