Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1485 LANDED 3:50 PM CT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

G4 1485 · SDF → VPS

took off 3:32 PM ET · landed 3:50 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at VPS that day

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ VPS usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SDF

Weather at each end

SDF (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

VPS (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1485 · SDF → VPS

Odds over time