Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 186
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
G4 186 · SWF → MYR
departs 4:13 PM ET · arrives 6:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave SWF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at MYR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MYR?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at MYR that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MYR usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SWF
Weather at each end
SWF (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 8,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MYR (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.