Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1888 LANDED 4:21 PM ET, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

G4 1888 · SFB → AVL

took off 3:08 PM ET · landed 4:21 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day

↑ 3pm departures from SFB are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SFB (origin) Gusts34 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.84 in

AVL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1888 · SFB → AVL

Odds over time