Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 199
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
G4 199 · ABE → SFB
departs 3:07 PM ET · arrives 5:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave ABE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABE
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ABE (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.