Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2044
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
G4 2044 · CVG → SFB
departs 12:34 PM ET · arrives 2:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,833 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.