Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2206
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
G4 2206 · SFB → GRR
departs 10:24 AM ET · arrives 12:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at GRR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to GRR?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
10am departures from SFB are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
GRR (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.