Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2213
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
G4 2213 · IND → VPS
departs 6:50 PM ET · arrives 7:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at VPS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to VPS?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at VPS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IND (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
VPS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.