Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 224
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
G4 224 · PIE → AVL
departs 10:00 AM ET · arrives 11:38 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Today 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −21 pts in 24h
−21 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −36 pts in 24h
−36 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at PIE that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into AVL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AVL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.