Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 228
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
G4 228 · PIE → AVL
departs 7:45 PM ET · arrives 9:23 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Wed 10/7 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at AVL that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.19 in
AVL (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.