Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2465
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
G4 2465 · PGD → DAY
departs 11:38 AM ET · arrives 2:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAY more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at DAY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAY?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAY
↓
11am departures from PGD are usually not late
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
DAY (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.