Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2536
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
G4 2536 · LEX → PGD
departs 8:59 AM ET · arrives 11:10 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave LEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −18 pts in 24h
−18 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into PGD at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
LEX (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
PGD (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.