Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2556
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
G4 2556 · CVG → PGD
departs 3:07 PM ET · arrives 5:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
PGD (destination)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.