Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 257
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
G4 257 · PBI → AVL
departs 4:16 PM ET · arrives 6:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PBI that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AVL that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PBI (origin)
Gusts 29 kt
Ceiling 2,500 ft
Visibility 1 mi
Precip 0.71 in
AVL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 1.25 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.