Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2646
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
G4 2646 · LCK → PIE
departs 8:26 PM ET · arrives 10:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
−12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave LCK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at PIE that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LCK
Weather at each end
LCK (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PIE (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.