Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2661
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
G4 2661 · MLI → PIE
departs 10:06 AM CT · arrives 1:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
−14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave MLI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −30 pts in 24h
−30 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at PIE that day
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MLI
↓
MLI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MLI (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
PIE (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.