Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2702
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
G4 2702 · LEX → PIE
departs 9:05 PM ET · arrives 11:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
5.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave LEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at PIE that day
↑
Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late
↓
LEX usually runs smoothly
↓
PIE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LEX (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
PIE (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.