Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2712
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
G4 2712 · FSD → PIE
departs 5:00 PM CT · arrives 9:09 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±6 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at PIE that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Other factors
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at FSD that day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FSD (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PIE (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.