Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2713
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
G4 2713 · PIE → BGR
departs 8:15 AM ET · arrives 11:31 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BGR more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BGR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at BGR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −30 pts in 24h
−30 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BGR?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at PIE that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Other factors
↓
8am departures from PIE are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BGR (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 0.75 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.