Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2715 LANDED 8:10 PM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

G4 2715 · TYS → PIE

took off 6:48 PM ET · landed 8:10 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at PIE that day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ TYS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip2.38 in

PIE (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2715 · TYS → PIE

Odds over time