Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2832
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
G4 2832 · SFB → DSM
departs 2:16 PM ET · arrives 4:09 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at DSM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DSM?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from SFB are often late
↓
SFB usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.22 in
DSM (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.