Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2876
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
G4 2876 · FWA → SFB
departs 9:11 AM ET · arrives 11:29 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±4 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave FWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
FWA is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at SFB that day
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FWA
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
FWA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.